Watchtower September 1, 2025

bashonda1

Week Ending August 31, 2025 (Published: September 1, 2025, Pre-Market). Educational only—never individualized advice.

📊 Retrospective: Week Ending August 31
✅ MSTU: $4,714 premiums (195 contracts, $0.05–$0.42). Returns 1.1–7.6%. CPC oversold confirmed QuantumPutAI (≥90%).
✅ TSLL: $4,862 premiums (196 contracts, $0.12–$0.22). 1.0–1.9% returns. Supported by bullish Tesla sentiment.
✅ HIMS: $385 premiums (9 contracts, $0.24–$0.55). 0.4–1.1% returns. Telehealth tailwinds noted.
✅ BITO: $1,714 premiums (64 contracts, $0.16–$0.51). Dividend (~$0.86/share) boosted ₂.1% yield. Wheel mitigated assignment losses.
⚠️ BITO: Price drop to $19.24 (₁₀.5%) caused ~$6,500 unrealized loss on ₃,000 shares. Highlighted wheel risks.
What We Learned: BITO dividend supports yields, but price risk is material. Roll tighter (DTE ≤3 days, Δ >0.40). Add wheel simulations to 1% Academy.

📈 Performance Table
Asset Contracts Premium/Contract Net Premium Strike Return (%) Status
MSTU 195 $0.05–$0.42 $4,714 $4.50–$5.50 1.1–7.6% Rolled/Open
TSLL 196 $0.12–$0.22 $4,862 $11.50–$12.50 1.0–1.9% Rolled/Open
HIMS 9 $0.24–$0.55 $385 $46.00–$48.50 0.4–1.1% Rolled/Open
BITO 64 $0.16–$0.51 $1,714 $19.50–$21.50 0.8–2.3% Assigned/Open
Educational examples only; options involve risk.

📈 Trade Recommendations: September 1–7, 2025
Assumes 5–10% OTM cash-secured puts expiring September 12, 2025. Use only if QuantumPutAI ≥ 90%.
Universe limited to tickers priced ≤ $50. $1K tiers appear only when truly cash-secured (strike × 100 ≤ $1,000).

🔹 TSLL ($13.51, IV ₉₀%)
$1K: N/A for CSP (strike×100 > $1,000). Consider paper trade or defined-risk spread.
$10K: 8× $12.50p (≈5–10% OTM) → size ≤5%/trade.
$100K: 80×; ladder by $0.50; roll only for net credit if Δ > 0.40.
🔹 MSTU ($5.27, IV ₇₅%)
$1K: 1× $4.50p (≈5–10% OTM).
$10K: 20× $4.50–$5.00p; stagger strikes.
$100K: 200×; split across 2 expiries on IV spikes.
🔹 HIMS ($48.41, IV ₆₀%)
$1K: N/A for CSP (strike×100 > $1,000).
$10K: 2× $45.00p.
$100K: 22×; consider partial collars on assignment.
🔹 BITO ($19.24, IV ₆₅%)
$1K: N/A for CSP (strike×100 > $1,000).
$10K: 5× $18.00–$19.00p.
$100K: 50×; CCs on assigned shares OK.
🔹 SOXL ($27.45, IV ₈₅%)
$1K: N/A for CSP (strike×100 > $1,000).
$10K: 4–6× $25.50p; leverage risk → size smaller.
$100K: 36×; split across expiries if needed.
🔹 ZETA ($19.55, IV ₆₈%)
$1K: N/A for CSP (strike×100 > $1,000).
$10K: 5× $18.00p; avoid earnings window.
$100K: 55×; watch spreads/liquidity.
🔹 SOFI (~$25)
$1K: N/A for CSP (strike×100 > $1,000).
$10K: 4–6× $22.00p (≈5–10% OTM).
$100K: 40–60×; ladder by $0.50.
🔹 SOXS (~$9–10)
$1K: 1× $9.00p (≈5–10% OTM).
$10K: 10×; stagger strikes.
$100K: 100×; inverse/leveraged — size conservatively.
Inverse/leveraged; confirm spreads & OI before entry.
🔹 NIO (~$5)
$1K: 1× $4.50p (≈5–10% OTM) if liquidity passes.
$10K: 10–15× $4.50p; avoid earnings week.
$100K: 100×; consider partial CCs on assignment.
🔹 ARKK (~$40–45)
$1K: N/A for CSP (strike×100 > $1,000).
$10K: 2–3× $40.00p (≈5–10% OTM).
$100K: 20–30×; keep tranche ≤5%.